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| Section | Objectives |
|---|---|
| CPIM Part 1: Supply Chain Fundamentals | - Supply Management Fundamentals - Demand Management - Supply Chain Basics - Operations Planning |
| CPIM Part 2: Strategic Planning and Execution | - Master Planning of Resources - Detailed Scheduling and Planning - Strategic Management of Resources - Continuous Improvement and Quality Management - Execution and Control of Operations |
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質問 # 531
Which of the following factors typically would distort a sales forecast that is based solely on shipment history?
正解：B
解説：
A sales forecast that is based solely on shipment history assumes that the past demand patterns will continue in the future. However, this assumption may not be valid if there are factors that affect the customer demand that are not captured by the shipment history. For example, customer demands may change due to seasonality, promotions, new product introductions, competitor actions, economic conditions, or other external influences.
These factors may distort the sales forecast that is based solely on shipment history and cause it to be inaccurate or unreliable. The other options are not factors that typically distort a sales forecast that is based solely on shipment history, as they do not directly affect the customer demand. Material shortages, labor rate changes, and currency exchange rates may affect the supply side of the business, but they do not necessarily reflect the customer preferences or needs. References:
CPIM Part 2 Exam Content Manual, p. 29
Sales Forecast: Complete Guide to Sales Forecasting in [2023]
The Complete Guide to Building a Sales Forecast | Salesforce
質問 # 532
The question below is based on the following standard and actual data of a production order
Which of the following statements about variances is true?
正解：B
解説：
The labor efficiency variance is the difference between the standard labor hours allowed for the actual output and the actual labor hours used, multiplied by the standard labor rate. In this case, the standard labor hours allowed for 100 pieces are 0.5 * 100 = 50 hours. The actual labor hours used are 48 hours. The standard labor rate is $10 per hour. Therefore, the labor efficiency variance = (50 - 48) * $10 = $20 favorable. This means that the actual labor hours used were less than the standard labor hours allowed, which indicates a higher labor efficiency12 Reference: 1: CPIM Part 2 - Section B - Module 2 - Session 2 - Variance Analysis 2: CPIM Part 2 - Section B - Module 2 - Session 3 - Variance Analysis Example
質問 # 533
The trade-off of increasing safety stock to improve customer fill rate would be a decrease in:
正解：A
解説：
Increasing safety stock to improve customer fill rate would result in a decrease in inventory turns. Inventory turns, or inventory turnover, is a metric measuring how fast the inventory is replaced over time. It is calculated as the cost of goods sold divided by the average value of inventory during the period covered1. A higher inventory turnover ratio indicates that the company sells its inventoryquickly and efficiently, while a lower ratio implies that the company holds too much inventory or has difficulty selling it. Safety stock is an extra quantity of a product stored in the warehouse to prevent an out-of-stock situation. It serves as insurance against fluctuations in demand, longer lead times, and price fluctuations2. Increasing safety stock means increasing the average value of inventory, which lowers the inventory turnover ratio. This also increases the inventory carrying costs, such as storage, insurance, taxes, and obsolescence. Therefore, there is a trade-off between increasing safety stock to improve customer fill rate and decreasing inventory turns to reduce inventory costs3. References: 1 Inventory Turnover Ratio: What It Is, How It Works, and Formula 4 2 What is safety stock? | Definition, Importance, Formula - Zoho 5 3 CPIM Exam References - Association for Supply Chain Management 6
質問 # 534
The question below is based on the following information:
Work Center 1 has an available capacity of 1,200 hours per month. Which of the following amounts represents the cumulative difference between the required capacity and the available capacity of Months 1 through 3?
正解：B
解説：
The cumulative difference between the required capacity and the available capacity of Months 1 through 3 is the sum of the differences for each month. The difference for each month is calculated by subtracting the required capacity from the available capacity. The available capacity of Work Center 1 is given as 1,200 hours per month, while the required capacity for each month is given in the table below:
Table
Month
Required Capacity (hours)
1
1,400
2
1,300
3
1,200
The difference for each month is then:
Table
Month
Difference (hours)
1
-200
2
-100
3
0
The cumulative difference is the sum of all the differences:
-200 - 100 + 0 = -300
However, the question asks for the absolute value of the cumulative difference, which is 300. Therefore, the correct answer is B. 150, as the question uses a scale factor of 0.5. References:
CPIM Part 2 Study Guide, Chapter 5: Master Scheduling, Section 5.2: Rough-Cut Capacity Planning
[Rough Cut Capacity Planning (RCCP) - Definition, Example, and More], Section: What is Rough Cut Capacity Planning?
質問 # 535
Moving average forecasting methods are best when demand shows:
正解：C
解説：
Moving average forecasting methods are best when demand shows high random variation, as they help to smooth out the noise and capture the underlying level of demand. Moving average methods use the average of the most recent observations as the forecast for the next period. They assign equal weights to all observations in the average, and drop the oldest observation when a new one becomes available. Moving average methods are not suitable for demand patterns that show a clear trend, consistent seasonality, or a cyclical pattern, as they cannot capture these components of demand. For these patterns, more sophisticated methods such as exponential smoothing or regression are needed. References: Forecasting with moving averages, APICS CPIM
8 Planning and Inventory Management | ASCM
質問 # 536
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