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| Section | Objectives |
|---|---|
| Risk Response Planning | - Threat Response Strategies - Opportunity Response Strategies |
| Risk Monitoring and Control | - Risk Reporting and Communication - Risk Audits and Reviews |
| Risk Identification | - Overall Project Risk Identification - Identifying Individual Risks |
| Risk Strategy and Planning | - Stakeholder Engagement in Risk - Risk Management Planning |
| Risk Analysis | - Qualitative Risk Analysis - Quantitative Risk Analysis |
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NEW QUESTION # 70
A risk manager reviews a Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model before sharing the results with the project manager. The risk manager notices that activity correlations were not included in the model.
What is an effect of adding the correlation to the model?
Answer: A
Explanation:
Adding correlation to the model accounts for the relationship between activities, which can result in increased variability in the model's outcomes. This will increase the standard deviation, which is a measure of the uncertainty in the model.
According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, an effect of adding the correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model is that it increases the standard deviation of the model. This is because:
* Correlation is the statistical relationship between two or more variables. In a schedule risk analysis, correlation can be used to model the dependency between the durations of different activities. For example, if two activities are positively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is also likely to take longer than expected. Conversely, if two activities are negatively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is likely to take shorter than expected.
* A Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis is a simulation technique that uses random values for uncertain variables, such as activity durations, to generate possible outcomes for the project schedule. The simulation is repeated many times to produce a probability distribution of the project completion date and duration. The standard deviation is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the distribution. A higher standard deviation means that the distribution is more spread out and less predictable.
* Adding correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model increases the standard deviation of the model because it introduces more variability and uncertainty to the simulation. Correlated activities can have a cumulative effect on the project schedule, either positively or negatively, depending on the direction and strength of the correlation. This can result in more extreme outcomes for the project completion date and duration, which increase the spread of the distribution and the standard deviation.
References:
* PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1
* Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam Cert Guide2
NEW QUESTION # 71
The project sponsor asks the project manager about the accuracy of the project data. The project manager realizes that some risks have not been updated recently.
What should the project manager do regarding those risks?
Answer: B
Explanation:
If the project manager realizes that some risks have not been updated recently, they should review the risk register to check for new risks and ensure that all risks are accurately documented and updated.
The risk register is a document that contains information about the identified risks, their analysis, and their response plans. It is updated throughout the project life cycle as new risks emerge, existing risks change, or risks are closed. The project manager should review the risk register regularly to ensure that the project data is accurate and reflects the current risk situation. Reviewing the risk register also helps the project manager to identify any new risks that may have occurred since the last update, and to plan appropriate responses for them. References: PMI, Project Risk Management, 2nd edition, 2019, p. 67-681
NEW QUESTION # 72
You are the project manager of the YHG project for your company. Within the project, you and the project team have identified a risk event that could have a financial impact on the project of $450,000. This risk event has a 70 percent chance of occurring in the project. The project identifies a solution that will reduce the probability of the risk event to ten percent, but it will cost $260,000 to implement. Management agrees with the solution and asks that you include the risk response in the project plan. What risk response is this?
Answer: A
NEW QUESTION # 73
A risk manager reviews a Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model before sharing the results with the project manager. The risk manager notices that activity correlations were not included in the model.
What is an effect of adding the correlation to the model?
Answer: A
Explanation:
Adding correlation to the model accounts for the relationship between activities, which can result in increased variability in the model's outcomes. This will increase the standard deviation, which is a measure of the uncertainty in the model.
According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, an effect of adding the correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model is that it increases the standard deviation of the model. This is because:
Correlation is the statistical relationship between two or more variables. In a schedule risk analysis, correlation can be used to model the dependency between the durations of different activities. For example, if two activities are positively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is also likely to take longer than expected. Conversely, if two activities are negatively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is likely to take shorter than expected.
A Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis is a simul-ation technique that uses random values for uncertain variables, such as activity durations, to generate possible outcomes for the project schedule. The simul-ation is repeated many times to produce a probability distribution of the project completion date and duration. The standard deviation is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the distribution. A higher standard deviation means that the distribution is more spread out and less predictable.
Adding correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model increases the standard deviation of the model because it introduces more variability and uncertainty to the simul-ation. Correlated activities can have a cumulative effect on the project schedule, either positively or negatively, depending on the direction and strength of the correlation. This can result in more extreme outcomes for the project completion date and duration, which increase the spread of the distribution and the standard deviation.
PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1
Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam Cert Guide2
NEW QUESTION # 74
An organization with a portfolio of unique business functions kicks-off a performance improvement project across the entire organization. There are a large number of stakeholders the project team will need to consider during risk identification.
What three actions should the risk manager ensure the project team performs during risk identification? (Choose 3)
Answer: A,D,E
NEW QUESTION # 75
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