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| Section | Objectives |
|---|---|
| Topic 1: Risk Monitoring and Control | - Risk Reporting and Communication - Risk Audits and Reviews |
| Topic 2: Risk Analysis | - Qualitative Risk Analysis - Quantitative Risk Analysis |
| Topic 3: Risk Response Planning | - Threat Response Strategies - Opportunity Response Strategies |
| Topic 4: Risk Strategy and Planning | - Risk Management Planning - Stakeholder Engagement in Risk |
| Topic 5: Risk Identification | - Overall Project Risk Identification - Identifying Individual Risks |
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質問 # 301
A project manager has requested a risk manager facilitate risk identification on a project. While facilitating this effort, the project manager wants to ensure that stakeholders interact and provide their expertise so that an exhaustive list of risks is created.
Which risk identification technique should the risk manager use?
正解：B
解説：
Explanation
The risk identification technique that the risk manager should use is the nominal group technique. This technique involves bringing stakeholders together to brainstorm potential risks and then ranking them based on their importance. This allows for interaction and collaboration among stakeholders, which can help ensure that an exhaustive list of risks is created.
質問 # 302
During project planning, a risk is identified for which the risk manager has defined a mitigation strategy.
Later during project execution, this risk still leaves substantial residual risk.
What should the risk manager do to handle this situation?
正解：A
解説：
If a risk still leaves substantial residual risk after implementing the mitigation strategy, the risk manager should revisit the risk register and redefine the mitigation strategy to reduce the residual risk to an acceptable level.
According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, an effect of adding the correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model is that it increases the standard deviation of the model. This is because:
* Correlation is the statistical relationship between two or more variables. In a schedule risk analysis, correlation can be used to model the dependency between the durations of different activities. For example, if two activities are positively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is also likely to take longer than expected. Conversely, if two activities are negatively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is likely to take shorter than expected.
* A Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis is a simulation technique that uses random values for uncertain variables, such as activity durations, to generate possible outcomes for the project schedule. The simulation is repeated many times to produce a probability distribution of the project completion date and duration. The standard deviation is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the distribution. A higher standard deviation means that the distribution is more spread out and less predictable.
* Adding correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model increases the standard deviation of the model because it introduces more variability and uncertainty to the simulation. Correlated activities can have a cumulative effect on the project schedule, either positively or negatively, depending on the direction and strength of the correlation. This can result in more extreme outcomes for the project completion date and duration, which increase the spread of the distribution and the standard deviation.
References:
* PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1
* Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)Exam Cert Guide2
質問 # 303
Sam is the project manager of a construction project in south Florida. This area of the United States is prone to hurricanes during certain parts of the year. As part of the project plan Sam and the project team acknowledge the possibility of hurricanes and the damage the hurricane could have on the project's deliverables, the schedule of the project, and the overall cost of the project.
Once Sam and the project stakeholders acknowledge the risk of the hurricane they go on planning the project as if the risk is not likely to happen. What type of risk response is Sam using?
正解：B
質問 # 304
You are the project manager of the GHY Project for your company. You need to complete a project management process that will be on the lookout for new risks, changing risks, and risks that are now outdated. Which project management process is responsible for these actions?
正解：B
質問 # 305
A risk manager has been assigned to replace a risk manager on sick leave. The new risk manager notices that the risk register is missing data that are key to the risk management process.
Which data will the risk manager require first?
正解：D
質問 # 306
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