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| Section | Weight | Objectives |
|---|---|---|
| Topic 1: Basic Numeracy & Algebra | 15% | - Arithmetic operations, fractions, decimals, percentages - Exponents, roots, and basic formulas - Linear equations, inequalities, graphing functions |
| Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics | 25% | - Graphical displays: histograms, boxplots, scatterplots - Measures of spread: range, IQR, variance, standard deviation - Types of data: categorical, discrete, continuous - Measures of center: mean, median, mode |
| Topic 3: Probability Concepts | 20% | - Probability rules, independent and dependent events - Conditional probability and Venn diagrams - Discrete and continuous probability distributions - Normal distribution and empirical rule |
| Topic 4: Correlation & Regression | 20% | - Interpreting slope, intercept, and R-squared - Correlation coefficient and interpretation - Predictions and limitations of regression - Simple linear regression models |
| Topic 5: Inferential Statistics & Study Design | 20% | - Hypothesis testing framework and interpretation - Confidence intervals for means/proportions - Observational studies vs experiments - Sampling methods and bias |
>> Applied-Probability-and-Statistics資格認定 <<
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質問 # 28
Variance of Poisson # = 5 = ?
正解:D
解説:
A defining property of the Poisson distribution is that its variance equals its mean, and both are equal to #.
Since the question states # = 5, the variance is also 5. This property distinguishes the Poisson distribution from many other probability distributions. The mean represents the expected number of events per interval, while the variance describes the spread of the event count around that mean. In a Poisson model with # = 5, event counts tend to vary around 5, and the numerical variance is 5. Option B, 4, option C, 0, and option D, 1, do not follow from the Poisson variance rule. The result is not obtained by squaring # or taking its square root; it is simply equal to #. Study Guide references/topics: Poisson distribution, variance, mean, # parameter.
質問 # 29
Sum of probabilities in sample space = ?
正解:D
解説:
The probabilities of all outcomes in a complete sample space must sum to 1. A sample space contains every possible outcome of a probability experiment, and one of those outcomes must occur. For example, when rolling a fair six-sided die, the outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. Each has probability 1/6, and the sum is 1/6 +
1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 = 1. A total probability of 0 would mean no outcome can occur, which is impossible for a valid experiment. A total greater than 1 violates probability rules because probabilities cannot exceed certainty. "Cannot exceed 2" is too broad and mathematically invalid, since the exact total must equal
1. This principle is foundational for checking probability distributions and validating whether assigned probabilities are coherent. Study Guide references/topics: sample space, probability axioms, total probability, theoretical probability.
質問 # 30
Two dice rolled, probability of both even = ?
正解:C
解説:
A standard six-sided die has three even outcomes: 2, 4, and 6. Thus, the probability that one die lands on an even number is 3/6 = 1/2. When two dice are rolled, the outcomes are independent because the result of one die does not affect the other. Therefore, the probability that both dice are even is 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4.
Equivalently, there are 36 ordered outcomes for two dice. The even-even outcomes are formed from 3 even choices on the first die and 3 even choices on the second die, giving 3 × 3 = 9 favorable outcomes. Then 9/36 simplifies to 1/4. Option B gives the probability of one die being even, not both. Options C and D do not match the count or multiplication rule. Study Guide references/topics: independent events, dice probability, multiplication rule, sample space.
質問 # 31
In a game, a coin is tossed, and a spinner with 8 equal spaces numbered 1 through 8 is spun.
What is the probability of getting heads on the coin and a number less than 3 on the spinner?
正解:C
質問 # 32
A golf course is attempting to correlate golfing handicap with math SAT scores among local high school golfers. Ignoring potential confounding variables such as socioeconomic status, the golf course creates the following scatterplot.
What is the estimated value of r, the correlation coefficient, between these variables?
正解:D
解説:
The correlation coefficient r measures the direction and strength of a linear relationship between two quantitative variables. In the scatterplot, the points are widely dispersed, so the relationship is weak rather than strong. The fitted trend line slopes slightly downward, indicating a negative association: as golf handicap increases, math SAT score tends to decrease slightly. Because the pattern is weak and negative, r should be close to 0 but less than 0. The best match is #0.10. Option A, #0.63, would represent a moderately strong negative linear relationship, which would require the points to cluster more tightly around a downward- sloping line. Option C, 0.10, has the right weak magnitude but the wrong direction because it is positive.
Option D, 0.63, is both too strong and positive. The visual evidence supports only a very slight negative linear association. References/topics from the Study Guide: scatterplots, correlation coefficient, positive and negative association, strength of linear relationship.
質問 # 33
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