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| Section | Objectives |
|---|---|
| Topic 1: Risk Monitoring and Control | - Risk Audits and Reviews - Risk Reporting and Communication |
| Topic 2: Risk Analysis | - Qualitative Risk Analysis - Quantitative Risk Analysis |
| Topic 3: Risk Identification | - Overall Project Risk Identification - Identifying Individual Risks |
| Topic 4: Risk Response Planning | - Threat Response Strategies - Opportunity Response Strategies |
| Topic 5: Risk Strategy and Planning | - Stakeholder Engagement in Risk - Risk Management Planning |
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問題 #85
You work as a project manager for SoftTech Inc. You have implemented the risk action plan and it was not effective. What type of plan should you as a project manager will create for implementation if a selected risk strategy fails to be fully effective?
答案：A
問題 #86
Harry works as a project manager for BlueWell Inc. He is determining how to conduct the risk management activities for a project. According to the PMBOK, there are six inputs to the plan risk management process. Which one of the following is NOT an input to this process?
答案：B
問題 #87
A project has a significant impact on an organization. Multiple stakeholders expressed concerns regarding the overall project risk during construction of the risk management plan, and they agreed that the risk appetite is low.
What should the project risk manager monitor closely?
答案：C
解題說明：
Explanation
The project risk manager should monitor risk thresholds closely, as they represent the organization's risk appetite. In a project with a low risk appetite, it is essential to ensure that risks are managed within the defined thresholds to address stakeholders' concerns and maintain their confidence in the project's success.
問題 #88
Upon reviewing the risk analysis results, the project manager notices several risks that occur more frequently than others. What should the project manager do?
答案：D
解題說明：
Explanation
The project manager should implement the risk handling strategies for the risks that occur more frequently, as this will help reduce their impact on the project and improve overall project performance.
Exploit is a positive risk response strategy that aims to ensure that the opportunity is realized 1. It involves eliminating the uncertainty associated with a particular upside risk and making it happen 2. For example, if there is an opportunity to reduce the project cost by using a cheaper supplier, the project manager can exploit it by signing a contract with the supplier and securing the savings. Exploit is the opposite of avoid, which is a negative risk response strategy that seeks to eliminate the threat or protect the project from its impact 2.
The other options are not appropriate for taking full advantage of opportunities. Mitigate is a negative risk response strategy that reduces the probability and/or impact of a threat 2. It is the opposite of enhance, which is a positive risk response strategy that increases the probability and/or impact of an opportunity 1. Accept is a risk response strategy that involves acknowledging the risk and not taking any action unless the risk occurs 2.
It can be applied to both threats and opportunities, but it does not actively pursue them. Transfer is a negative risk response strategy that shifts the impact of a threat to a third party, along with ownership of the response 2. It is the opposite of share, which is a positive risk response strategy that allocates ownership of an opportunity to a third party who is best able to capture it for the benefit of the project 1.
References: 1: How To Exploit and Enhance Project Opportunities - Project Risk Coach 2 2: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) - Sixth Edition, page 443-4451
問題 #89
A risk manager reviews a Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model before sharing the results with the project manager. The risk manager notices that activity correlations were not included in the model.
What is an effect of adding the correlation to the model?
答案：A
解題說明：
Adding correlation to the model accounts for the relationship between activities, which can result in increased variability in the model's outcomes. This will increase the standard deviation, which is a measure of the uncertainty in the model.
According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, an effect of adding the correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model is that it increases the standard deviation of the model. This is because:
* Correlation is the statistical relationship between two or more variables. In a schedule risk analysis, correlation can be used to model the dependency between the durations of different activities. For example, if two activities are positively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is also likely to take longer than expected. Conversely, if two activities are negatively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is likely to take shorter than expected.
* A Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis is a simulation technique that uses random values for uncertain variables, such as activity durations, to generate possible outcomes for the project schedule. The simulation is repeated many times to produce a probability distribution of the project completion date and duration. The standard deviation is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the distribution. A higher standard deviation means that the distribution is more spread out and less predictable.
* Adding correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model increases the standard deviation of the model because it introduces more variability and uncertainty to the simulation. Correlated activities can have a cumulative effect on the project schedule, either positively or negatively, depending on the direction and strength of the correlation. This can result in more extreme outcomes for the project completion date and duration, which increase the spread of the distribution and the standard deviation.
References:
* PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1
* Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam Cert Guide2
問題 #90
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PMI-RMP題庫: https://www.vcesoft.com/PMI-RMP-pdf.html
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